POPULATION/DEVELOPMENT/ENVIRON
MENT TRENDS IN A GLOBALIZED
CONTEXT
CHALLENGES FOR THE 21 st CENTURY
Paper prepared by George Martine
for the International Conference on
Trends and Problems of the World Population
in the 21st Century.
50 Years since Rome 1954
Abstract :
The analysis of current population dynamics within the context of globalized development highlights the mounting importance of spatial redistribution in environmental outcomes. More specifically, the inevitable and unprecedented growth of towns and cities sets the stage for the major PDE interactions of the 21st century. Huge increases in urban population are foreseen, especially in Asia and Africa, and these will have enormous environmental implications. The importance of cities in the environmental sphere is multiplied by their critical role in the current development framework. Despite current disadvantages, urban concentration could turn out to be a more sustainable form of land use and, overall, a critical ally of sustainability. For this to happen, however, a proactive and interventionist approach needs to be urgently adopted with regards to inevitable urban growth in order to reduce its negative impacts and to maximize its potential economic, social, demographic and ecological advantages. Where cities are located, how and where they grow, how they deal with various environmental challenges as well as with the needs of the poor, are all decisive issues for the PDE equation.
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